2022 NBA Draft: Discussing the case of Chet Holmgren, Paulo Panchero, Jabari Smith or Jaden Ivey as the first possibility

Who is the No. 1 prospect in the 2022 NBA Draft?

We will find out on Thursday evening who the Orlando Magic is the value as the number one pick as they are first overall picked for the first time since 2004–but there’s more than a consensus view at the top of this draft among the NBA front desks. And the same for our expert group. at our end Top 100 Ranking Comprised of a consensus drawn from rankings by CBS sports experts Gary Parrish, Matt Norlander, David Cobb and myself, along with Adam Finkelstein and Travis Branham from 247 sports, there were four different players who received the first place votes.

So who is the potential No. 1 player in the 2022 NBA Draft?

Scouts have their opinions But our calculations in the consensus rankings determined that Chet Holmgren was worthy of the honor – but below each of us list our cases for being selected as the top professional prospect in this year’s draft. Here’s who each of us had in the lead, and why, as we head into Thursday night’s draft with a wide range of perspectives on the top of the class.

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The Chet Holmgren case

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I understand the arguments that led Jabari Smith, Paulo Panchero and even Jaden Ivey to go first overall in the 2022 NBA Draft. I don’t think any of them are silly choices. But I still really think Holmgren is the best prospect available this year, which is why I also think Orlando should take him with the first pick. He is the elite edge protector in defense and can float attack, throw, shoot, and exploit encounters in general.

If a traditional guard was guarding it, they would probably go around it. If a smaller player guards him, he can definitely shoot him straight. Am I worried about the slight frame? Certainly, on some level, I think. But as ESPN’s Jonathon Jevonne noted in a recent podcast, how many great possibilities aren’t strictly up to greatness because they’re so skinny? He couldn’t think of anything. I can’t do that either. So I’m going to assume that Holmgren’s unique skill set will allow him to beat his own unique frame and eventually emerge as the best player out of this draft. – Gary Parish

Holmgren has the highest draft cap in my opinion. It changes the game on both ends of the earth. Not many 7 feet, anywhere in the world, can protect a ledge, extend the floor, and still provide such an effective interior finishing presence. He’s even a better passer than I think some people give him credit for. But on top of all that, I’m just a big believer in his mentality and that inner toughness. I know he has to build his body, but if there’s one thing all NBA teams have discovered how to do at an exceptionally high level, it’s it. Adam Finkelstein

We know the entire world is skeptical about his body but the truth is that Holmgren hasn’t had any history of injuries or shown that his lack of strength is a real handicap. You wouldn’t be able to throw him at the Joel Embiids of the world, but no one could throw anything at him. In four to five years, we could legitimately talk about him being one of the faces of the league with his dribbling, passing and shooting ability unlike what we’ve seen in his size and height coupled with the fact that he’s an elite defender and edge protector. Travis Branham

I understand the attraction of Smith and Panchero, but for me the height of Holmgren is much higher. Smith lacks gaming industry potential – Holmgren can thrive beautifully in this department. Suspected as a 3-point shooter and on defense – Holmgren has a nice punch and is one of the best edge protection prospects we’ve ever seen. I don’t buy the rave about my unique body type either. Holmgren has been able to resist stronger players his whole life, and the NBA rules will continue to evolve in his favour. He has already proven that he can perform at the highest levels of amateur basketball, and also has the most room to improve on any of the top three possibilities. Add all that up, and that definitely sounds like the best player in the draft class. Colin Ward Henninger

The case of Paolo Banchero

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Whether it’s for CBSSports.com, Eye on College Basketball, or CBS Sports HQ, I’ve made my position on having Banchero #1 on my big board a few times in recent weeks. But here, in exchange for the draft, again, with feeling. Banchero is the most logical choice for any player in this category because he is the most persistent and progressive talent. His Duke numbers, along with several other first-round players in the starting lineup, were unsatisfactory: 17.2 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 3.2 apg for the nation’s top-ranked offensive team, per KenPom.com.

Banchero was 52% of a 2-point ACO and 33.8% of a 3-point range. Nobody in this draft has Banchero’s combination of size + skill + touch + passing ability + play creation + rebounding dexterity + competitive advantage. It has an above average handle, can operate the shaft, shoot from beyond the bow, not a black hole. The hesitation with him first stems from the fact that he’s not likely to do damage to a 3-point shooter like Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren, and even Jaden Ivey. But he can still shoot her. Defensively, he has more ground to compensate. Nobody is ready to play in the NBA tomorrow like Banchero, and I believe he will eventually prove to be a multi-time star by the end of his second decade. – Matt Norlander

The case of Jaden Ivey

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There are safer prospects at the top of this category (Smith Jr.) and bigger proposals for boom/breakdown as well (Holmgren), but no one has the rare combination of explosive sports and creation ability that Ivy has in this draft. It’s a human firecracker that can bang on the edge. He has the potential to evolve into a real key guard at the next level if he continues to evolve and improve as a decision maker.

At worst, he could be the initiator of a change of pace whose dynamic explosion helps lighten the burden of the team’s first starting choice. I would consider him #1 on everyone in this class on the chance that his gameplay would improve albeit marginally, if not dramatically, and his improvement as a shooter over the past year bodes very well for him as a burgeoning star entering the NBA. Kyle Boone

It was the case of Jabbari Smith Jr.

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What distinguishes Smith most clearly from Banchero, Holmgren and others as the top pick in the 2022 NBA Draft is his outfield shooting. At 6-10 and with a 42% 3-point mark on 5.5 attempts per game in his only season at Auburn, Smith is plotting as an excellent long-term leader at the next level. While Banchero and Holmgren flashed some scope from the ocean in their lone college seasons, neither of them embarked as an elite in any aspect of the game quite as Smith does as an outdoor shooter.

Given that Smith also has an excellent defensive rise and a thriving portfolio to create offensive shots, he’s the safest bet for the group to one day be an NBA star. With promising young guards like Galen Suggs and Cole Anthony distributing basketball in Orlando, Smith would be an excellent addition to the Magic’s core group. Although Smith may take years to reach his full potential, it’s easy to see him become the Magic’s top scorer early in his career due to the shooting touch he’ll bring to the league on day one. David Cope